Saturday, February 16, 2008

Intrade Prediction Markets on the US Presidential Nominees

  • http://www.intrade.com/ is an Ireland based prediction market that allows its members to trade on politics, current events, weather, legal and financial issues to name a few.
  • Democratic Presidential Nominee Barack Obama is currently trading up 0.5 at 71.3 to win the party's nomination. According to the one month chart Obama was 20K a month ago and is up to a closing price of 70.8K as of 2/15/08 with total trading volume of 1,548K. The one month high was 75K and the low was 5K.
  • Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton is currently trading up 0.1 at 29.0 to win the party's nomination. According to the one month chart Clinton was 70.5K a month ago and is down to a closing price of 28.9K as of 2/15/08 with total trading volume of 0.673K. The one month high was 67K and the low was 25K.
  • To win the overall Presidential election Obama is trading at 48.0 to John McCain 's 34.1 and Hillary's 18.0.
  • Other contracts being traded include VP picks, whether or not Michael Bloomberg will run as an Independent and whether or not Ron Paul will run as a third party candidate.


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